BlackRock’s Warning Puts Bitcoin’s “Digital Gold” Story to the Test
When Bitcoin slid sharply in early February, the selloff looked familiar on the surface: cascading liquidations, sudden wicks on price charts, and a wave of anxious posts from traders who had grown used to the calm of the previous months. But beneath the noise, the episode reopened a deeper question about what Bitcoin is becoming, and who it is really for.
Robert Mitchnick, BlackRock’s head of digital assets, put that tension into plain language during a mid-February discussion: excessive leverage, he warned, is making Bitcoin trade less like a hedge and more like a “levered Nasdaq.” For a market that has spent years trying to sell itself to pension funds and long-term allocators as “digital gold,” the comparison landed like a cold splash of water.
The February move was not small. From late-January highs near the mid-$90,000s, Bitcoin fell into the low $60,000s in a matter of days before stabilizing and rebounding toward the high $60,000s. In isolation, a 20–25% correction is hardly unusual for crypto. What stood out this time was the plumbing. Futures open interest, which had ballooned as prices climbed, collapsed by more than 20% in days, and by much more from cycle peaks, depending on the dataset. Liquidations ran into the billions, with long positions taking the brunt of the damage.
Yet the spot market told a different story. The largest U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs, including BlackRock’s own IBIT, saw only modest outflows during the worst of the volatility; on the order of fractions of a percent of assets, not the stampede one might expect if long-term holders were rushing for the exits. In other words, a large part of the stress appeared to come not from investors abandoning Bitcoin, but from traders being forcibly removed from leveraged positions.
This split—between relatively steady spot ownership and violent derivatives-driven moves—goes to the heart of Mitchnick’s warning. Leverage is not new to Bitcoin. Futures, perpetual swaps, and options have been part of the market for years, and they have often amplified both rallies and crashes. What has changed is the audience. With ETFs, custody solutions, and clearer regulatory frameworks, Bitcoin is now marketed to institutions that care deeply about volatility, drawdowns, and portfolio behavior in macro shocks.
For those allocators, the promise of Bitcoin as “digital gold” is not about price going up every year. It is about how the asset behaves when things go wrong elsewhere; whether it diversifies risk, holds value in stress, or at least fails differently from high-beta tech stocks. A market structure that regularly turns modest moves into cascades of forced selling makes that case harder to sustain.
To be fair, some analysts argue that February’s episode was, in a sense, encouraging. VanEck and other research shops described the move as “orderly deleveraging” rather than blind panic. Open interest fell sharply, funding rates reset, and the market did not spiral into the kind of multi-week free fall seen in past crises. From that perspective, leverage did what it always does—amplified volatility—but the system absorbed the shock and kept functioning.
There is also a reasonable counterpoint: gold itself is not immune to speculative excess, nor are equity markets free from leverage. The presence of derivatives does not automatically disqualify an asset from playing a defensive role in portfolios. In traditional finance, futures and options are often tools for hedging as much as for speculation. Crypto markets, still young and fragmented, may simply be going through the same maturation process—learning, painfully, how much leverage they can safely carry.
Still, the optics matter. When Bitcoin sells off in tandem with tech stocks during macro stress, and when the worst of the damage is clearly linked to speculative positioning, it reinforces the idea that, in practice, the asset is behaving like a high-beta risk trade. That does not make it useless. But it does complicate the narrative that it is already a stable store of value in the way gold is widely understood to be.
The February data sharpen that contrast. On one side, spot ETF investors largely stayed put, suggesting that a base of longer-term capital is forming. On the other, derivatives markets once again showed how quickly leverage can turn a correction into a spectacle. The result is a two-speed Bitcoin market: slow-moving institutional money on one track, fast and fragile speculative flows on the other.
This raises an uncomfortable question for the industry. If Bitcoin’s path to broader adoption runs through pensions, endowments, and conservative asset managers, can it continue to tolerate a market structure that routinely produces “levered Nasdaq” behavior? Or does institutional maturity eventually require a deliberate shift away from extreme leverage—through lower caps, higher margins, or simply a cultural change in how the asset is traded?
There are signs that the market is already feeling its way in that direction. After the February washout, funding rates turned negative, open interest remained well below peaks, and volatility eased. In past cycles, similar resets have laid the groundwork for more sustainable advances. If nothing else, they remind participants that leverage is a double-edged sword: it can accelerate adoption in bull markets and undermine credibility in moments that matter most.
At the same time, it would be premature to declare the “digital gold” story dead. Narratives in finance are not binary switches; they evolve. Bitcoin today is not the same asset it was in 2017 or even in 2021. The presence of ETFs, regulated custodians, and a growing cohort of long-term holders does change its character, even if the derivatives tail still wags the dog more often than traditionalists would like.
Mitchnick’s warning, then, is less a verdict than a stress test. It highlights the gap between what Bitcoin aspires to be in institutional portfolios and how it sometimes behaves in practice. Whether that gap narrows or widens will depend on choices made by exchanges, traders, and regulators, and on whether the market decides that credibility with long-term capital is worth more than the adrenaline of extreme leverage.
For now, February’s selloff leaves Bitcoin in an awkward but familiar place: caught between two identities. One is a maturing asset class courting conservative money. The other is a hyper-financialized trading vehicle that still thrives on volatility. The tension between those roles is not new. What is new is that, with players like BlackRock now openly talking about it, the question of which identity ultimately wins is no longer just a crypto debate, but a mainstream market one.


